September 8, 2023
MLB

Mets, Giants Top Stacking Options for MLB DFS

Giants 1B Flores and Rookie Southpaw Harrison Headline Attractive Giants Options
San Diego Padres pitcher Blake Snell
Weather Report

Brewers at Yankees, 7:05 p.m.

There's inclement weather in the forecast in New York, but the most likely outcome appears to be a delayed start and play. There's some risk here, but it's unlikely there will be an in-game delay that would impact starting pitchers.

Dodgers vs. Nationals - 7:05 pm

There's also a chance of a delay in Washington, but it's almost impossible to forecast when that will take place. Regardless, both MacKenzie Gore and Emmet Sheehan aren't among the stronger options on Friday's slate among starting pitchers.

Baltimore vs. Boston - 7:10 pm

It's going to be extremely humid at Fenway Park, so it's highly likely the ball will be flying. There's a strong possibility this is a high-scoring series opener.

Injury Report

Mookie Betts (foot)

X-rays came back negative after the Dodgers star fouled a ball off his foot during Thursday’s series finale against the Marlins. Fantasy managers should prepare for the possibility that he winds up sitting out Friday’s series opener against the Nationals.

Shohei Ohtani (oblique)

Angels manager Phil Nevin told reporters Thursday there’s a chance Ohtani is ready to return Friday against the Guardians after missing four consecutive contests due to right oblique tightness.

Austin Riley (illness)

Riley is expected to return to Atlanta’s lineup for the opener against the Pirates after sitting out Thursday’s contest against the Cardinals due to a stomach bug. There should be some clarity on his status well in advance of first pitch.

Lane Thomas (back)

Thomas figures to be ready for the Nationals in the opener against the Dodgers after missing a pair of contests this week due to back inflammation. Back issues can be complicated matters, but he’s had a couple days of extra rest to hopefully put the issue to bed.

Luis Rengifo (biceps)

Rengifo was removed Thursday against the Guardians with a left biceps strain and appears likely to wind up on the injured list. It’s a tough break as the 26-year-old has been hot at the dish of late, posting a .972 OPS over the last month.

Alex Verdugo (hamstring)

Verdugo is expected to return to Boston’s lineup for Friday’s series opener against the Orioles following a three-game absence due to left hamstring tightness.

Tim Anderson (neck)

Anderson is day-to-day after being scratched from Wednesday’s lineup due to neck stiffness. It would be Elvis Andrus starting at shortstop on Friday night if he’s not ready to return.

Matt Vierling (elbow)

Vierling was removed from Thursday’s contest against the Yankees with a right elbow contusion after being hit by an errant pickoff throw to first base.

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Top Priced Starting Pitchers (DraftKings)
  • Blake Snell vs. HOU: $10,800
  • Kodai Senga vs. MIN: $10,000
  • Jordan Montgomery vs. $OAK: 9,400
  • Kyle Bradish vs. BOS: $9,200
  • Kyle Harrison vs. COL: $9,000
  • Griffin Canning vs. CLE: $8.800
  • Eury Pérez vs. PHI: $8,800
  • Hunter Brown vs. SD: $8,600
  • Logan Allen vs. LAA: $8,400
  • Yusei Kikuchi vs. KC: $8,200
  • Mitch Keller vs. ATL: $8,100
  • Bryce Elder vs. PIT $8,000
  • Cristopher Sánchez vs. MIA: $7,800

Friday’s slate offers few quality matchups with both top-priced options Blake Snell and Kodai Senga facing strong offenses in challenging road tilts. The Rangers have been in an extended free-fall, but trade acquisition Jordan Montgomery has pitched extremely well since coming over from the Cardinals, compiling a solid 3.60 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 30/7 K/BB ratio across 35 innings (six starts). He'll face off against a struggling Oakland lineup that ranks 29th in runs scored since the All-Star break.

Perhaps the most intriguing option for fantasy managers is rookie southpaw Kyle Harrison, who offers immense strikeout potential and will face a Rockies’ lineup that struggles away from Coors Field’s high-octane offensive environment, and also ranks as one of the worst in baseball this season against left-handed pitching with a .668 OPS against southpaws.

There will undoubtedly be some variance for the 22-year-old top pitching prospect from a run-prevention standpoint, but he's piled up a staggering 21 punch outs in 15 1/3 innings over three starts since being called up last month from Triple-A Sacramento. He might be the best option on Friday's slate, especially from a pure upside standpoint.

Eury Pérez has blossomed into one of the premier young pitchers in baseball this season, compiling a sparkling 2.86 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 95/25 K/BB ratio across 78 2/3 innings (16 starts). However, he’s worked beyond the fifth inning just twice in five starts since returning to Miami's starting rotation mix last month.

He's notched at least five strikeouts in each of those outings, but he's facing a strong Philadelphia lineup at hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park, which limits his realistic ceiling on Friday night.

Sneaky Option

Luis Severino vs. Brewers: $5,500

Hear us out. Severino has been abysmal this season, but he appeared to figure some things out of late, allowing just four runs on 11 hits with an 11/1 K/BB ratio across 11 innings over his last two starts against the Tigers and Astros, respectively.

It would be challenging to recommend him against a familiar foe, but he’s facing a Milwaukee lineup that hasn’t seen him this year and has been one of the worst in baseball since the Midsummer Classic, posting a dreadful .702 OPS, which ranks fifth worst in baseball since the All-Star break.

It’s a decent matchup, especially with Colin Rea taking the ball for the Brewers on Friday evening, and it’s difficult not to recommend him as a sneaky option at such a manageable salary.

Stack Attack 

Mets vs. Twins (Dallas Keuchel)

  • 1B Pete Alonso $4,900
  • SS Francisco Lindor $4,800
  • C Francisco Alvarez $3,600
  • 2B/SS Ronny Mauricio $3,200
  • OF DJ Stewart $3,000
  • 3B Mark Vientos $2,200

Keuchel looked cooked during his brief time in the majors last year and hasn’t fared much better this season for the Twins, posting a bloated 5.06 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8/7 K/BB ratio across 21 1/3 innings (five appearances, four starts).

The Mets have several right-handed platoon bats they can stack against the veteran southpaw on Friday evening in Minnesota, including rookie sluggers Ronny Mauricio, Francisco Alvares and Mark Vientos, in addition to veteran breakout DJ Stewart, assuming he's ready to go after missing a pair of contests earlier this week due to lower back tightness.

Giants vs. Rockies (Ty Blach)

  • 2B Thairo Estrada $4,300
  • 1B Wilmer Flores $3,900 
  • OF Mitch Haniger $3,800
  • 1B/3B J.D. Davis $3,500
  • OF Luis Matos $2,500

It'll be lefty Ty Blach drawing the starting assignment on Friday night at Oracle Park in San Francisco, which sets the stage for the Giants' righty-mashing options to step into the starting lineup. The most notable stacking options here are Wilmer Flores, Mitch Haniger, Thairo Estrada, J.D. Davis and Luis Matos. It's flown a bit under the radar, but Flores has been one of the premier hitters in baseball since the All-Star break, posting a robust .973 OPS with 13 homers and 27 RBI in 45 games since mid-July.

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Other News

Weather Report:

There are only three games on the slate today and none should be impacted by precipitation.

Injury Report:

Jorge Soler - Hip - He left Tuesday’s contest against the Rays with right hip tightness. He is considered day-to-day and could be ready to go against the Nationals.

Lane Thomas - Back - He was lifted prior to the seventh inning due to back soreness. It doesn’t sound serious but there is a chance he sits out Thursday.

Mitch Haniger - Rest - Haniger returned from the injured list on Tuesday and sat out against a righty but the team said it was only due to rest. He should be ready to go on Thursday.

Starting Pitchers (DK-FD)

Spencer Strider: 12,500-12,000

Lance Lynn: 8,800-9,500

Braxton Garrett: 8,200-8,700

Pedro Avila: 6,300-6,700

Joan Adon: 5,400-6,400

Sean Manaea: 5,000-7,300

Spencer Strider is the highest-priced pitcher for the slate, which shouldn’t be surprising. He easily leads the slate with a 2.75 SIERA, 1.06 WHIP, and 38 percent strikeout rate. His 1.06 HR/9 is the highest of his career, without taking the two game appearance in the majors late in 2021 into account. His 60 percent HR/Barrel rate is above league average, which indicates that he could be getting a bit unlucky with the long ball. He faces a tough team in the Dodgers which makes the 12K+ price tag a bit steep.

Strider gets to go toe-to-toe with Lance Lynn in the last game in the slate on Tuesday. To say that Lynn has had an up-and-down season is a bit of an understatement. Lynn has a 3.99 SIERA, 1.38 WHIP, and 26 percent strikeout rate on the season but most of the damage was done while he was a member of the Chicago White Sox. Since joining the Dodgers, he has a 4.30 SIERA, 1.06 WHIP, and 21 percent strikeout rate. He faces a very tough task of facing the Braves in Dodgers Stadium. Since both of these pitchers face uphill battles, going cheap on the pitching while loading up on bats, could work tonight.

Braxton Garrett gets to face the Nationals for the second game in a row. Last time out, he allowed three runs over six innings while only picking up three strikeouts. This time around, he will be in the Nationals home ballpark, which has been below league average when it comes to the long ball, especially with the forecast projecting the winds to be blowing into the ballpark.

Batter to Target

Joan Adon is a pitcher that could be easily exploited in this small slate. His 4.44 SIERA is easily the worst of the group ad Nationals Park is a bit hitter-friendly this season. While the Marlins hitters have struggled in the second of the season Jake Burger ($4,100 on DK and $3,000 on FanDuel) could be an option for fantasy managers looking some cheap power.

Stack Attack

Marlins (Braxton Garrett) vs. Nationals:

DK-FD

Lane Thomas: 4,900-3,200

Keibert Ruiz: 4,000-2,600

Joey Meneses: 4,400-2,700

If Lane Thomas is ready to go on Thursday, he is a must add. The 28-year-old is hitting .346/.393/.591 with eight homers and nine stolen bases against southpaws this season. Ruiz and Meneses also have been above league average against left-handed pitching while hitting towards the top of the Nationals lineup.

Giants (Manaea) vs. Padres:

DK-FD

Ha-Seong Kim: 4,900-3,100

Gary Sanchez: 3,800-2,600

Garrett Cooper: 2,900-2,400

Trent Grisham: 2,800-2,500

The Giants haven’t officially named a starter for Thursday’s contest against the Padres but Sean Manaea figures to fill in as the bulk reliever. Ha-Seong Kim has been out of his mind in the second half of the season, while posting a season long line of .329/.413/.579 with eight homers and ten stolen bases against left-handed pitching. Sánchez and Grisham have also hit above league average against lefties and can be add at some really low prices. Cooper has moved up to sixth in the Padres batting order after Jake Cronenworth landed on the injured list with a fractured wrist. If the Padres bats come to life at the top of the order, you could pick up some RBIs at a considerably low price point.

It’s another full slate of games Wednesday, and there are more than a handful of interesting options to gander over. Colorado-Atlanta provides some intriguing value, but a ‘lesser’ game like Kansas City taking on Pittsburgh also offers intrigue.

Here are tonight’s Underdog and Prizepicks plays for Wednesday’s MLB slate.

Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 Total Bases - Higher (Underdog)

It’d be hard to overstate just how good the Royals' infielder has been in August, as the young star has hit.327/.379/.626 with eight homers while stealing nine bags and driving in 21 runs even for a weak team. On Wednesday, he’ll go up against the Pirates' Andre Jackson; who pitched decently over his last two starts but offers plenty of opportunity with less-than-spectacular stuff. Don’t be surprised if Witt Jr. offers a combo meal with a homer and a steal, and he’s a good bet to reach the over on that 1.5 total.

Nolan Jones : 1.5 Total Bases - Higher (Prizepicks)

Somewhat quietly, Jones has been one of the better rookies in baseball, coming into Wednesday with a slash of .271/.353/.488. He’ll get a chance to place in the friendly confines of Coors Field, and the former Cleveland prospect will also get a chance to face a right-hander who is making his MLB debut in Darius Vines. Jones is hitless in his last three games, and while that makes things a little more nerve-wracking, it also means he’s due for a big game.

Matt Olson: 0.5 RBI - More (Prizepicks)

Olson will be going up against a lefty in Kyle Freeland, and while he is statistically worse against southpaws than he is righties, worse is a subjective term considering he’s posted an .891 OPS with nine homers and 27 RBI over his 125 plate appearances. Add in the fact he’ll be playing in the friendly confines of Coors Field with some elite hitters hitting in front of him, and Olson is as good of a bet for an RBI as any player Wednesday.

Dane Dunning: 4.0 strikeouts - Higher (Underdog)

Dunning has been able to miss bats at much higher rate as of late, with 39 strikeouts over 29.2 innings of work in his five starts thus far in August. The Mets certainly offer a chance for missed bats, and are not exactly in striking distance for a playoff spot. Dunning should be able to hit his mark as long as he can throw enough strikes to do so; something he admittedly struggled with Friday against the Twins.

Brandon Pfaadt : 4.5 Strikeouts - Lower (Underdog)

There’s reason for long-term upside with Pfaadt, as he was one of the best minor-league hurlers in baseball in 2022, and there have been some flashes of brilliance in 2023 despite his ugly 5.91 ERA and 1.36 WHIP over 67 innings during his rookie campaign. Asking him to reach this total is asking him to work deep against the Dodgers, a lineup that is as feared as any in all of baseball. There’s just too much risk on betting overs with Pfaadt against this kind of team.

The Houston Astros have terrorized the Boston Red Sox this week, putting up 19 runs over the last two games, both of which started by two of Boston’s best pitchers, Chris Sale and Brayan Bello.

Sale and Bello kept the games close, giving up three and two earned runs respectively, but the bullpen couldn’t contain Houston’s bats. Jose Altuve hit for the cycle in the first game, and Yordan Álvarez homered in both games, hitting seven for nine over the two nights.

Vlad Jr Could Go Off Wednesday

The Contrarian Edge Optimizer likes the idea of doubling down on the Astros stack -- a lineup that tied a franchise record 66 hits in the last four games -- but there are also alternatives to consider. Specifically, take a look at Toronto and Seattle. Both have excellent matchups today, so let’s take a closer look.

The Blue Jays face off against Patrick Corbin and the Nationals at the Rogers Centre this afternoon. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($5000) could be poised for a big day. He’s riding a 10-game hitting streak, during which time he's slashing .302/.333/.438 with two home runs.

If you’re looking for some cheaper options to round out your lineup, keep an eye on both Blue Jays catchers. Danny Jansen ($3600) and Alejandro Kirk ($3000) are each available for less than $4000 on Draft Kings and rostering them should allow you a few extra dollars to roster a top tier bat or one of the three best pitchers on today’s card.

Either Santiago Espinal ($2400) or Whit Merrifield ($4400) could offer hits and runs if the Blue Jays put it together. And don’t sleep on George Springer ($4700), who’s been back in the leadoff spot this series and has put together a really nice run with a five-game hitting streak.

No August swoon for Seattle bats

The Mariners bats were momentarily silenced at T-Mobile Park on Tuesday night, but they’ve been red hot this month, leading the team to a 20-6 record in August. They should stack up nicely against Zach Neal, who’s starting for Oakland for the first time since 2016.

The Mariners have been excellent against right-handed pitchers this season, hitting .240/.323/.419 with a team wRC+ of 108 this season. During their hot streak this August, those numbers are even more impressive -- .279/.363/.486 and a wRC+ of 138 against right-handed pitching.

The Optimizer likes Seattle's Teoscar Hernandez ($4500) as one of your outfielders, and you could do worse than supplementing his production with leadoff man JP Crawford ($4300). Third baseman Eugenio Suarez ($4600) offers some nice pop and while you should avoid Julio Rodriguez, who is day-to-day after a late scratch on Tuesday night, Dominic Canzone ($3000) is a very cost-effective option who’s been on a nice run over the last 10 days, hitting .306/.306/.500.

Pitchers to consider

As for pitching, the wind is blowing in at Wrigley Field, and the Brewers' Brandon Woodruff ($10200) has looked every bit like the ace we know he can be since coming back from the injured list. He’s thrown 22.2 innings across four starts with 29 strikeouts, and only the Rangers scored more than two runs against Woodruff since his return.

Another pitcher to consider is the Giants' Logan Webb ($9500), who has gone five or more innings in 18 of 19 starts this season – including a seven-inning start with seven strikeouts against the Reds at Great American Ballpark in July.

Oracle is a much more pitcher-friendly environment, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see Webb surpass that strikeout total from July with a free-swinging Reds team that ranks 25th in MLB with a 24.5 percent strikeout rate.

There are 15 MLB games on tap for Tuesday and a ton of opportunities to cash. The Seattle Mariners-Oakland Athletics game is very intriguing on both sides, and the Mariners have been one of the hottest hitting teams in baseball over the last few weeks. Here are tonight’s Underdog and Prizepicks plays for Tuesday’s MLB slate.

Teoscar Hernandez: 1.5 Total Bases - Higher (Underdog)
Hernandez has been excellent against left-handed pitchers and Ken Waldichuk has let up six hits or more in three of his last four starts, and he’s sporting an earned run average over six.

He’s hit the over on one and a half total bases in seven straight games. He’s homered three times in his last three contests. Hernandez is scorching hot hitting the ball in August, and he sits with a .371 batting average this month. Waldichuk has been a weaker pitcher on the road than at home, and tonight’s game is in Seattle.

Ty France: 0.5 Singles - Higher (Underdog)
France has singled in five of his last seven contests, and he hits way better against lefties, hitting .309 against them. France is having one of his better hitting months as he’s batting .284 in August. Waldichuk is more of a groundball pitcher, and France hits over 42 percent when it comes to ground balls. Between the amount of hits Waldichuk has given up lately, his struggles on the road and France having a strong month at the dish, he should be able to get on base this evening.

Ken Waldichuk: 5.5 Hits Allowed - More (Prizepicks)
With Waldichuk giving up at least six hits in a few starts recently, it’s hard to think that he’ll be able to shut down the Mariners who have been the best hitting team by average in the MLB over the last two weeks and third best over the last seven days. Waldichuk has a 7.43 earned run average, and opponents hit .303 against him when he’s starting on the road. Seattle hits .262 against left-handed pitchers which is the 8th highest in the majors.

Jose Altuve: 2.0 Hits+Runs+RBIs - Higher (Underdog)
Altuve has crossed the plate nine times total over his last three games. During that span he hit the ball seven times and produced five RBIs. Altuve hits .335 against right-handed pitchers, and even though Boston Red Sox pitcher Brayan Bello hasn’t given up a ton of runs in his starts recently, he’s allowed six hits or more in five straight starts. Last week in this exact matchup, Bello gave up nine hits against Houston, and since then, Altuve has heated up. Altuve has also been a better hitter on the road than at home, and this game is in Boston.

Manny Machado: 0.5 Singles - Higher (Underdog)
Machado has been reaching base a lot lately. Tonight, he faces St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Zack Thompson who is not only a lefty, but he’s surrendered six hits in both of his last two outings. Machado hits .327 against left-handed pitchers and he’s hit a single in three of his last five games.

Marcus Semien: 0.5 Singles - Higher (Underdog)
Semien hits better against left-handed pitchers than right-handed pitchers. He’s hit singles in four of his last seven games, and the Rangers' bats have woken up a bit in the last week. Semien has a good history against New York Mets pitcher Jose Quintana, hitting the ball six times in 13 at-bats against him. He has the most hits for the Rangers this season.