There are three playoff games Wednesday, with plenty of chances for fun over/under plays as we march towards the League Championship Series in the American League and National League.
Aaron Nola, Phillies RHP: 5 strikeouts vs. Atlanta - Over (Underdog)
The starting pitching options aren’t great Wednesday, but Nola is the best and gave up one run in seven innings against the Marlins in his last outing. He only struck out three, but that has more to do with the aggressiveness of the Miami lineup. Even against a loaded Atlanta lineup, there’s a very good chance Nola will strike out more than five in Game 3.
Joe Ryan, Twins RHP: 4 strikeouts vs. Astros - Under (PrizePicks)
This is a low total and is more of a bet of Ryan not going long innings. He had a 5.22 ERA in the second half of the season and allowed 32 homers in 29 starts (162 innings) overall. He’ll face strong Houston hitters like Yordan Alvarez and Alex Bregman and there’s a strong chance this will be a short outing for Ryan in a game Minnesota must win to keep its season going.
Freddie Freeman, Dodgers: 2.0 total bases vs. Diamondbacks - Higher (Underdog)
The Dodgers haven’t gotten anything going in their first two games of the postseason and need a win Wednesday to survive. Freeman only got on base three times in the first two games, but the last time he faced Brandon Pfaadt -- the D-backs’ Game 3 starter -- he went 2-for-4 with a homer.
A double and a walk will hit this total for those who bet the under, and we’ve seen Freeman reach that result (or better) throughout the 2023 campaign. Look for the 2020 MVP to have a big game against Pfaadt and the Arizona pitching staff.
Yordan Alvarez + Edouard Julien: 3.0 hits + runs + RBI -- Over (PrizePicks)
Would anyone be shocked if Alvarez reached this total by himself? The left-handed slugger has been sensational in the first three games of this series with four HRs and a .500/.538/1.667 slash, and we already mentioned Ryan’s struggles. The fact that you get another player with Alvarez makes this a relatively easy over in a game that will see plenty of runs scored by both teams.
Lance Lynn, Dodgers RHP: 19.5 fantasy points: Over (Underdog)
Let’s preface this with the fact that I’ve picked against Arizona in all four postseason games and obviously have not been correct. You’re welcome, Diamondbacks fans, and I’ve been nothing but impressed with what I’ve seen over this first week-plus of playoff baseball.
Having said that, I’m going with Lynn, who showed zero consistency in 2023 but had enough flashes of brilliance to suggest he can start strong in a survival game. The Diamondbacks surely will regress soon, and I’ll bet (again) on that taking place Wednesday.