On Sunday Night Football, Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are on the East Coast to take on the New York Jets.
Game
New York Jets vs. Kansas City Chiefs, 8:20 pm ET
Betting Odds (DraftKings)
- Line: Chiefs -8.5, Jets +8.5
- Moneyline: Chiefs (-410), Jets (+320)
- Over/Under: 41
Team Ranks (2023)
Jets
- Points for: 14 (32nd)
- Points Allowed: 20.3 (12th)
Chiefs
- Points For: 26 (9th)
- Points Allowed: 13.3 (4th)
Key Injuries to Watch
Jets
- DB Tony Adams (Hamstring) – Out
- G Wes Schweitzer (Concussion) -- Out
Chiefs
- LB Nick Bolton (Ankle) – Out
- CB Jaylen Watson (Shoulder) - Out
The injuries aren’t considered altering for either side. Bolton is probably the most significant loss, but his absence likely won’t affect the Chiefs’ ability to keep the Jets’ struggling offense grounded.
Captain Prices (DraftKings)
- Patrick Mahomes, QB $18,600
- Travis Kelce, TE, $16,500
- Garrett Wilson, WR, $14,400
- Zach Wilson QB, $13,500
- Isiah Pacheco, RB, $12,600
- Breece Hall, RB, $11,700
- Jerick McKinnon, RB, $10,200
Flex Prices (DraftKings)
- Patrick Mahomes, QB $12,400
- Travis Kelce, TE, $11,000
- Garrett Wilson, WR, $9,600
- Zach Wilson QB, $9,000
- Isiah Pacheco, RB, $8,400
- Breece Hall, RB, $7,800
- Jerick McKinnon, RB, $6,800
According to the Contrarian Edge Optimizer, Patrick Mahomes is projected to be the most-owned Captain on the slate over at DraftKings -- 43%, with KC tight end Travis Kelce next at 24.5%.
Regarding flex positions, it’s projected to be much more balanced. In Showdown lineups, seven players are projected to be owned in over 30% of lineups.
- Cody's Rankings: WR | RB | QB | TE-K-Def.
- This Other Chief Might Stand Out on SNF
- Steezy's Fades: Get Off the Mike Evans Train Now
- TD Props: These Broncos Will Be Bucking
- Go with These TEs in Week 4 Pick 'Ems
- Week 4 Stacks: Go Chalk, Go Contrarian
- Bargain Bin: Burrow Is Ready to Show He's Back
- The Best and Worst from Lions-Packers
- Vegas Lines: In Ron You Should Trust
This is Mahomes’ first career game at MetLife Stadium. He and the Chiefs offense must come with their best, because the Jets’ defense is its strength.
Offensively, the Jets send out 2021 No. 2 overall pick Zach Wilson to lead a unit that has been pitiful. He has the lowest QBR (34.4) in the NFL since he entered the league. The Jets rank last in points scored, total yards, and first downs. And the Chiefs’ defense are No. 4 in points allowed.
The Chiefs are an 8.5-point favorite, and Mahomes has a 37-3 won-loss record in games where he’s a touchdown favorite or greater.
Captain Option
Travis Kelce, Chiefs, $16,500 - Captain Slot
With Mahomes projected to be the highest-owned Captain, Kelce is a great alternative in lineups. The Optimizer agrees. A Mahomes-Kelce stack is practically required.
Mahomes and the Chiefs got things back on track against a terrible Bears defense in Week 3 as he threw for 272 yards and three touchdowns, Kelce was on the receiving end of one of them.
The Jets have a complete defense, but they have allowed the fifth-most yards and three touchdowns to tight ends.
Jets DC Robert Saleh’s defenses have been susceptible against tight ends since he was with San Francisco. Going back to last season, Kelce has scored in five straight games.
Cheaper Options
Rashee Rice, Chiefs, $4,800
I like this rookie receiver to get involved. The Chiefs running backs won’t have room to run against a Jets defense that is allowing the second-lowest yards after contact and the fourth-fewest explosive runs. This leads me to lean towards another Chiefs pass catcher, and Rice is my favorite of the group.
The Jets’ defense has been stellar defending receivers since the start of last season, but they have a small hole defending the slot. Rice will run most of his routes against Michael Carter there.
Last week, we saw Rice with multiple red zone targets, and he even had a touchdown that was called on the field overturned with the ruling that he was down at the goal line. He trailed only Kelce in targets and receptions last week. We can see Rice leading the crowded KC receiver room Sunday night.
Chiefs Defense/Special Teams $5,200
The Chiefs’ defense appears to be the real deal to combine with its high-powered offense, and the Jets have the worst offense in the NFL. They have converted only three of their last 24 third downs.
Prediction
The last time Mahomes faced the Jets, the Chiefs won 35-9 at Arrowhead. I expect a similar outcome. If the Chiefs offensive line can keep the Jets pass rush at bay, Mahomes will have a good night.
Mahomes and Kelce are approaching Drew Brees and Jimmy Graham for the most touchdown connections between a QB and TE.
Final Score: Chiefs 30, Jets 13