Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) & Josh Allen (BUF) TD +438 Caesars
I expected Chase to be -110 across the board, so I’m very surprised to see +125 on FanDuel. Chase currently leads the league in WR targets without a touchdown, and I think that changes Sunday. He’s also a good bet for 100+ receiving yards and a touchdown against one of the biggest pass funnels in the league. The Titans' rush defense is in the top five in success rate this year, and I don’t think Joe Mixon is going to be the guy to change that. There should be a steady dose of targets for Burrow's top target.
We constantly see Josh Allen’s rushing attempts increase in competitive games, and that’s been backed up by his quotes in the media on running in important vs. unimportant situations. This Dolphins matchup profiles as one of the highest-scoring of the season, and the Bills should have plenty of redzone opportunities. While James Cook has been a good addition to the team, the smaller back doesn’t profile as much of a goal line back. I expect Allen to primarily operate as their red zone rushing option, and he also has scramble potential outside of the red zone with those Dolphins deep safety looks.
- Cody's Rankings: WR | RB | QB | TE-K-Def.
- Steezy's Fades: Get Off the Mike Evans Train Now
- TD Props: These Broncos Will Be Bucking
- Go with These TEs in Week 4 Pick 'Ems
- Week 4 Stacks: Go Chalk, Go Contrarian
- Bargain Bin: Burrow Is Ready to Show He's Back
- The Best and Worst from Lions-Packers
- Vegas Lines: In Ron You Should Trust
Anthony Richardson (IND) 1+ Touchdown +105 FanDuel
We cashed Anthony Richardson in this very article when he scored two touchdowns before going down with an injury before halftime. He’s back in the lineup, and I’m surprised we’re getting this prop at plus money. Richardson will continue to be the No. 1 goal line option, even with Zack Moss playing better than Deon Jackson. There is a reason that Cam Newton and Josh Allen are top-5 in goal-line efficiency in the last 25 years; it’s a very hard play to stop. Richardson is more athletic than both of those quarterbacks, and I expect him to continue to be the focus of all the Colts' goal-line packages.
Jaleel McLaughlin (DEN) TD +800 MGM
This Denver/Chicago game is going to be one of the more exciting games of the week between two bottom feeders on the defensive side of the ball. I think we will have plenty of scoring opportunities in this one, and the RB has already been involved in the red zone, scoring a first quarter touchdown against the Commanders. He’s someone that made waves in training camp and has earned touches this week. I like taking my chances at +800.
Marvin Mims Jr (DEN) +430 FD
Mims has been the most impressive offensive player on the Broncos, despite only playing limited snaps. Rumors out of Denver are heavily implying he will be more involved this week, and he gets an amazing matchup. I think this will end up being Denver's most impressive offensive performance, and getting these good prices on some of the lesser-known players is a good angle. Mims has also had some huge plays on special teams, and I’ll always take the added opportunities. Asking a big play player to make a big play here!
Jonnu Smith (ATL) +800 FD
Finally, another backup tight end longshot after cashing last week! Smith had surprising usage last week, and I think we might see that again. Pitts doesn't look healthy at all on film and is also running tougher downfield routes. Smith has recorded more than a 70% route participation in back-to-back weeks and has some solid yards after catch upside. Jacksonville is a pass funnel which is bottom-5 in fantasy points against the tight end position. I like the sneaky longshot here.
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