We've made it to another Sunday night! After an action-packed day, we cap off another wild weekend with what might be the most lopsided matchup we've seen to this point in 2023. The struggling New York Giants will travel to Buffalo to take on Josh Allen and the Bills for Sunday Night Football.
Buffalo Bills vs. New York Giants, 8:20 pm ET
Betting Odds (DraftKings)
- Line: Bills -15.5, Giants +15.5
- Moneyline: Bills (-1200), Giants (+750)
- Over/Under: 43.5
Team Ranks (2023)
Bills
- Points for: 31.8 (3rd)
- Points Allowed: 16 (6th)
Giants
- Points For: 12.4 (31)
- Points Allowed: 30.6 (29th)
Key Injuries to Watch
Bills
- TE Dalton Kincaid (Concussion) – Questionable
- TE Dawson Knox (Wrist) – Questionable
- CB Dane Jackson (Foot) - Questionable
Giants
- QB Daniel Jones (Neck) – Out
- DE Azeez Ojulari (Ankle) – Out
- OT Matt Peart (Shoulder) – Out
- C John Michael Schmitz (Shoulder) – Out
- OT Andrew Thomas (Hamstring) – Out
- RB Saquon Barkley (Ankle) -Questionable
- RT Evan Neal (Ankle) - Questionable
The injury report for the Giants reads like a novel. Jones is out and Tyrod Taylor will start in his place. Superstar running back Saquon Barkley is questionable, but he participated in practice all week. If he is active, he’ll likely be limited. The biggest issue for the Giants is their offensive line is in complete shambles. They’re in for a long night.
Captain Prices (DraftKings)
- Josh Allen, QB $19,200
- Stefon Diggs, WR, $18,300
- Saquon Barkley, RB, $16,500
- Tyrod Taylor QB, $14,100
- James Cook, RB, $13,800
- Gabe Davis, WR, $11,700
- Darren Waller TE, $11,100
Flex Prices (DraftKings)
- Josh Allen, QB $12,800
- Stefon Diggs, WR, $12,200
- Saquon Barkley, RB, $11,000
- Tyrod Taylor QB, $9,400
- James Cook, RB, $9,200
- Gabe Davis, WR, $7,800
- Darren Waller TE, $7,400
According to the Contrarian Edge Optimizer, Allen is not surprisingly projected to be the most-owned Captain on the slate over at DraftKings in over 32% of lineups. Diggs projected to Captain 29% of lineups. The next closest projected is the Bills defense at 8.4%.
Regarding flex positions, it's projected to be much more balanced. In Showdown lineups, Taylor is expected to be appear in over 44% of lineups. Cook is projected to be in 27%
The current Vegas total is down to 43.5 points. Each offense plays at a slower than average neutral pace, but we can expect the Bills offense to be on the field much more.
Unfortunately, we must endure the Giants on primetime again but it’s a great opportunity to make this game fun to win some money with our Showdown lineup! The Bills are returning home from their trip to London, and they will be eager to get back on track.
The intriguing story is Brian Daboll returning to face his former team and the quarterback he coached up so well, Josh Allen. According to DVOA, Buffalo is the best 3-2 team of all time. Allen and the Bills are poised to destroy the G-Men.
Captain Option
Stefon Diggs, WR, $18,300
The Optimizer is suggesting placing Diggs in your Captain slot. He is projected to appear in 28.6% of lineups as the captain so it doesn’t necessarily give you an edge, but Diggs should once again dominate. Under defensive coordinator Wink Martindale, the Giants play man-to-man at the fourth-highest rate and are dead last in QB pressures.
Allen is third in yards per attempt and passing grade. Adoree Jackson and rookie Deonte Banks will be tasked in slowing down Diggs. They won’t be able to.
James Cook, RB, $13,800
By rostering Cook in your Captain slot you can likely get Allen and Diggs also in your lineups. Cook hasn’t exactly lit the world on fire but a breakout performance is looming. We all expect Buffalo to get out to an early lead.
The Giants have been the third-most favorable matchups for running backs in RushEPA. New York has allowed over 5 yards per carry and the second-most rushing yards overall. Despite a terrible stat line in Week 5, Cook played on 62% of the snaps. I love the spot to let James cook!
Cheaper Option
Bills Defense/Special Teams $6,600
We can’t put any trust in any Giant. Waller finally had a solid game in Week 5 and the Bills are without stud linebacker Matt Milano. This could hurt Buffalo defending opposing tight ends as we move further into the season, but Taylor is not instilling fear Sunday night.
The Bills defense brings the 10th best pressure rate into Week 6 and that’s with Von Miller only playing 20 snaps so far this season. The Bills defense has suffered a few significant season-ending injuries, but their defensive line is as strong as ever.
This is a “revenge game” for Taylor, but the current state of the Giants offensive line makes this a smash spot for the Bills defense!
Prediction
The Bills will crush the Giants. I’m a Giants fan and have zero faith in this team. They are the worst team in the NFL. The injuries are simply too much for them to handle. Buffalo is upset after their loss in London and will look to finish this one early. The one saving grace for the Giants might be the fact that the Bills loved Daboll and likely won’t try to embarrass him too much on national TV.
Final Score: Bills 38, Giants 6