Longtime scout and Fantasy expert weighs in on TNF
Intro: I watch the TNF games (and every NFL game) live, then watch it again on tape for scouting Fantasy/DFS and future betting (player props) purposes. And like a restaurant or movie ‘critic’, I’m here to report my critiques of this nationally televised game -- pro and con.
My name is R.C. Fischer, and I am a decade+ long football scout and Fantasy writer/player (and bettor) of football things...and I watch football games for a living. I am a fan of no NFL team … except the one that I may have bet on that particular game. I review/study game tape for personal profit (or loss) in DFS and handicapping/props.
Let’s take a look at what I witnessed, the good and the bad, in this game on my every Friday series on Sportstopia critiquing the ‘Best and the Worst’ of the Thursday Night Football game.
Here is the BEST and WORST of TNF Week 4, Lions at Packers.
Last week, Week 3, FSL’s Optimizer WON the TNF DraftKings DFS Milly Maker...a MILLION DOLLARS...split with 125 other people. I was just impressed that I was some kind of part of the data and strategy that won a million-dollar contest already with this new Optimizer software.
Daryl Snyder, FSL CEO, told me upfront when my company started partnering up with his – that he had a goal to win two Milly Makers...and he wanted to start accomplishing that goal by winning one to start. It was a joking statement/goal, but also, he was serious – and that’s what we’re in this for...is to prove the quality of the FSL Optimizer tool and the scouting/projections data provided. So, last week – we got his ‘one’.
Well, it didn’t take long to get Part II of the initial goal completed...because the very next week, this game Week 4 – win #2...two in-a-row. That’s insane – but it’s not pure luck. It’s the quality of the Optimizer tools, and the brains and balls of the man running the software for FSL (Mr. Snyder) converting the football info/scouting into action/strategy for the Optimizer’s line up setting, and it’s the scouting and projection data provided by firms like mine at Fantasy Football Metrics – all of it coming together like a beautiful symphony.
Back-to-back wins, this 2nd win/first prize title was only shared with 74 other people. So, a bigger slice for FSL.
I just mentioned (above) that Daryl stated his goal was to win two DFS Milly Makers...that’s what he told me, but after the Week 3 win -- he wanted to clarify and change the goal to a modification of: he wants to win the actual million-dollar prize alone and not just share it!
Hey, I was told the goal was to win two Milly Makers...and we did...Mission Accomplished! Right?
Daryl is right...the goal has to be the solo win to really move the needle, move the company forward/higher. So, it’s one night to celebrate the improbable back-to-back wins...and then back to the coal mines to study more football to now win one of these things all alone for the seven-figure dream.
Football never sleeps. There’s always a next contest to conquer. The good news for FSL – we’re doing some kick-ass conquering.
On our TNF DFS preview podcast on Sportstopia Thursday, I spoke about how strong the Lions have looked on tape all season and that they had made their move to being one of the clear top 10 best executing, all-around teams in the league, heading toward trying to get into the top 5 best – they are that good.
With that as a lead-in the Lions went out and dominated in all facets right off the bat. Detroit led 27-3 at the half while holding Green Bay to just 21 yards total offense by the half.
It was a thorough beating handed out by the clear front runner for the NFC North.
Our prize-winning DFS strategy in this game was born from a belief that Detroit would most likely dominate the Packers and put the Pack into late-game catchup mode for passing numbers. And we pretty much called it in advance on the Sportstopia TNF podcast.
See/hear for yourself (article continues below):
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Green Bay was a constant three-and-out in the 1st-half and looked like they might never complete a forward pass or run for positive yardage. It was 24-3 Detroit 16+ minutes into the game and the Packers were lucky it wasn’t worse than that. An awful display by the Packers.
Well, at least the Packers didn’t rollover like the Denver Broncos did last week at Miami. Green Bay actually closed the gap to 27-17 at the beginning of the 4th-quarter. The Packers fans got back into it, and it looked like we might have an exciting finish. We didn’t...but at least it kept the game interesting and gave Packers fans some hope (delusions) going forward.
Quay Walker decided to try and (illegally) jump the O-Line to try and block a field goal, a field goal attempt that the Packers defense worked so hard to halt Detroit from scoring a touchdown so they could stay two scores away with some left to mount a legit comeback – but the Walker penalty erased the field goal and gave Detroit a fresh set of downs deep in the red zone, that wound up an eventual TD and provided the dagger to the Pack.
DFS isn’t the only way to profit from the TNF game. Taking our scouting to project the game script, I bet on Detroit -2.0 for this game...and that got in the bag rather quickly, with no real risk that it would escape with late game shenanigans.
I like the bets where it’s not down to the wire praying for a kicker to miss a last second field goal or praying for a fumble or praying for an unusual lightning storm to come along and get the game canceled so that the bet would just be refunded. No, I got to enjoy this one without stress all the way through...pretty much...thanks to Quay Walker for relieving any of my possible stress.
My BEST BET of this game...failed.
Keisean Mixon, slot cornerback for Green Bay – I took the OVER 3.5 tackles prop at (+120) in DraftKings on him this game.
When Mixon has played 65% or more of the snaps in a game, he has hit 4 or more tackles in a game five times in 6 those games where he played heavily...and this night he would be on Amon-Ra St. Brown quite a bit, so lots of throws/catches headed Mixon’s way expected, which elevates tackle count hopes. Well, Detroit blew Green Bay out so fast that the Lions throttled down the passing game and instead of his usual 7-8 catches, Amon-Ra ‘only’ had 5 catches here, one for a TD (so, no tackle count possible).
Mixon wound up with 2 total tackles officially...and one missed tackle I saw (because you watch these guys like a hawk when you got money on the line) where he smashed a receiver pretty hard but the ballcarrier kind of had their momentum pushed forward by the hit and then ran into the hands of someone else who got credit for the tackle.
These are the things that drive Prop bettors out of their minds. Actually, good thing he didn’t get that 3rd tackle in like the 3rd-quarter – because then he would have needed one more tackle to pay off and I would’ve watched the rest of the game in agony watching him NOT get anymore tackles.
The Lions run defense shut down the Falcons top run offense last week...22 carries for 44 yards. This game, they crushed the Packers run game to 12 carries and 27 yards total.
One of the main themes of the DFS preview podcast, and for setting lineups, accordingly, was talking about the Lions run D. Now, the world will be talking about it the next week/s. Good luck to Miles Sanders next week.
I got into Luke Musgrave this week in some DFS lineups and in traditional head-to-head Fantasy leagues. Musgrave is a great rookie talent and had a really nice output last week/Week 3 with some opportunity left on the table due to a couple Jordan Love overthrows.
This night: One catch...one yard...out with a concussion before halftime, and as soon as he is gone the other TEs get 6 catches from then on in.
Fantasy is a wicked beast too often.
Lions rookie Brian Branch looked like he had a bad leg injury in this game, and he got carted off the field...a huge loss for the Lions and felt bad for the young man.
Then, a little while later, we saw Branch on the sideline getting taped up and then back in the game. A thankful stroke of good fortune for Branch and the Lions. Happy to see that!
With the Lions way up late, Branch was still in the game and...and he got hurt again and had to be helped off the field. Did he really need to be out there late? Who is managing the personnel? We see this risk taken all the time in the regular season. Yet, in the preseason they try to put everyone in bubble wrap. Do better by your stars NFL coaches!
See you next week/TNF Week 5 (Chicago at Washington) ...where we go for an insane third Milly Maker 1st Place in a row. It’s impossible to do...but I said that about winning a 2nd in-a-row this week. So, what do I know?
-- R.C.
Steezy outlines his DFS fades for Week 4
About my ‘fade Chase’ thoughts last week — let’s just say Joe Burrow single-handedly changed the trajectory behind that analysis (as I initially didn’t expect him to play in Week 3) so I will NOT be fading a top-5 player at his position — because this week I might just mess around and do it!
Buckle up y’all, it’s time for some ‘Fade ‘Em Up Friday’ thoughts! (all salaries courtesy of FanDuel.)
In going up against arguably the best defense in the NFL (statistically speaking), Jackson might be in for a rough outing.
The Browns are No. 1 in total defense, giving up an average of just 163.7 yards per game, and are the only team that has allowed less than 500 total yards through the first three weeks. They're first in scoring defense, giving up 10.7 points per game and are the only team that has given up less than 35 points.
Coupled with Baltimore-Cleveland being the projected lowest-scoring game (39.5) of the weekend, elite fantasy production might not be there for the former MVP.
To make matters worse, Odell Beckham Jr and Rashod Bateman have yet to practice for Baltimore this week and are likely to miss Sunday’s divisional showdown.
It’s not that Lamar won’t put up fantasy points, it’s just that you can find cheaper alternatives with similar statistical outputs.
White is averaging just 3.1 yards per carry and I’m not sure that number goes up this weekend vs the Saints, who are top 10 in rushing defense (99.7 ypg).
White’s calling card was supposed to be pass-catching ability out of the backfield – coupled with Baker Mayfield’s penchant for checking down – but he hasn't eclipsed 5 receptions nor 30+ yards receiving in any game.
In a tough divisional matchup that’s expected to be low-scoring, I’m not high on White and he’s not worthy of a top 15 salary at RB.
Evans has been BALLING, but what goes up, must come down.
The thing about segments such as this one where I’m “fading” guys in fantasy isn’t my favorite subject to write about, as often people misunderstand your usage of ‘fading’ as ‘hating’ a player, or ignoring how a player has been performing (no matter how many times you try to preface).
It’s not necessarily the comments from others that bug me, it’s that I’m able to – sometimes, at least – foreshadow the truth when others can’t. I usually find myself on an island and, for the most part, nobody wants to be all alone on an island.
All of this to say, the matchup just isn’t it for me when it comes to Evans in Week 4.
Since his rookie season in 2014, Evans has averaged ‘just’ 50 yards per game along with 3.24 receptions against the Saints, numbers well below his standard. He hasn’t topped 70 yards receiving in his last eight games against the Saints, dating back to 2019.
I know everyone is hopping on the Evans train right now, but if you’re one of the lucky few reading this, I highly advise you get off that train for Week 4 before it crashes.
Having yet to eclipse six receptions or 41 yards in any game (including a Week 1 doughnut in the box score), Goedert is currently the TE27. That’s a far cry from the TE1 production we’re accustomed to seeing.
Perhaps he’s moved even further down the pecking order in that loaded Eagles offense? Whatever it may be, fade Goedert in Week 4.
I don’t know what it is, but Washington almost always plays the Eagles tough -- particularly in Philadelphia, where the Commanders have won two of the last three matchups.
To top it off, the Commanders have yet to allow a TE to record over 23 yards receiving. With a solid and underrated group of linebackers and safeties, I don’t expect that number to change.
You can find more upside at TE while spending significantly less at the position.
Volume will always serve Mixon, especially in fantasy world – albeit relatively inefficiently.
But what happens when somebody who relies almost exclusively on volume (in addition to passes thrown his way out of the backfield) runs into a literal wall? By wall I mean the Tennessee Titans defense, who have been lethal defending the run.
Tennessee is first in the NFL in fewest yards per carry allowed, at 2.6, and fourth rushing yards allowed per game at 69.3. No one has run for more than 45 yards against the Titans, and I’m not sure Mixon will be the first.
Joe Burrow might still not be 100% healthy and that hypothetically would mean Cincy running more. However, the RB9 price is too much to spend on Mixon when the matchup is about as bad as it could be.
Leave Mixon on your bench this week if you have other alternatives at RB.
Top PrizePicks and Underdog choices for Week 4
We start with a combo between two undervalued tight ends. While neither are the most exciting names in the world, I see plenty of value in these props.
Commanders quarterback Sam Howell has been locked into the tight end position since the start of the preseason, and Logan Thomas is 2/2 on this number already. While he got injured in the Denver game, he’s practiced this week and should be good to go.
Washington will have trouble establishing the run with their weak offensive line going against a top-tier Eagles D-Line, which should lead to more passing. With their strong secondary, the Eagles notoriously funnel targets over the middle, leading to tight ends balling out. They have a very strong secondary, but the linebackers and safeties can be exploited over the middle.
The Vikings’ T.J. Hockenson posted 66 yards, while the Chargers’ Hunter Henry and the Patriots’ Mike Gesicki had 56 and 38 in Week 1. The Bucs’ Cade Otton had 16 last week but had a drop and some penalty problems. I promise you Howell will drop back more than 25 times this week as well.
Dawson Knox is under the radar with rookie TE Dalton Kincaid, who hasn’t gotten off to the strongest start. Knox has proved to be a reliable weapon for Josh Allen over the last couple years, and he has five red zone targets (T5).
I expect both tight ends to be used interchangeably against the Dolphins, but Knox has been running more high-value routes and been more efficient. He’s over this number in 2/3 games, with his one miss coming against the Commanders. He had three targets, but the Bills were dominating so much that the game got out of hand.
This will be a high-scoring matchup against the best offense in football. Miami DC Vic Fangio is known for those deep cover-2 safety looks, which should lead Allen to check down more than usual. I have Knox and Kincaid both clearing four receptions in this one, but I see more value in Knox.
Now we’re going back to Underdog Rivals, for some head-to-head props!
Zack Moss has been sneaky impressive, and I expect that to continue in Week 4. Even in a rough matchup with backup quarterback Shane Steichen, he dominated a top-10 EPA defense (Houston Texans) and helped his team secure the win. He’s now posted 30-122-0 and 18-88-2 in his two starts since the Colts let go of Deon Jackson.
On the other side, Kyren Williams has ranked in the bottom 5 in RYOE since taking over the job. McVay mentioned wanting to lessen his workload in interviews this week, and it is unlikely that his on-the-field performance is changing his mind.
People won’t like this one, but I like the mismatch in opportunities. We’re seeing Bijan in a fairly even split, coming off an 11-carry game, while Etienne is locked into a 15+ carry role, averaging 16 on the season.
There is no denying Bijan is extremely talented, but I think the wrong player is favored in this matchup. The Jaguars will be one of the bigger pass funnels this year, and I think they hold up well on the ground. I’m expecting a bounce back from the Jacksonville offense, which means a favorable game script for Etienne.
Check out these stacking options for Week 4
With three weeks behind us, the NFL season feels like it’s fully underway and (mostly) starting to make sense (I’m looking at you Cowboys, what was that!?). Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami offense have been unstoppable, Jordan Love is an above average quarterback, Travis Kelce is smitten with Taylor Swift, De’Von Achane is as fast as advertised, the Falcons still hate throwing the ball and the Bears are an absolute disaster.
As the season falls into place, more information reveals itself, priors are proven right and even more are proven wrong, it’s up to us to fish out the relevant information and try to find that edge against our opponents.
Sometimes it makes sense not to rock the boat. Tua has been great and he’ll probably remain great for DFS with the Olympic track team he has. But sometimes we have to get contrarian with our stacks to set ourselves away from the crowd. We’ll give you a little bit of both here.
All that talk about Tua in the intro and now I’m saying start Josh Allen!? Shoutout to our friend here at Sportstopia Terrell Furman for promoting this stack. We’ve got the highest total of the week at 53.5 and I WANT SOME OF THAT.
After what we’ve seen Tua and Tyreek do, you wouldn’t be the only one going back to the Dolphin well in Week 4. I’m trying to get on the other side of what should be a game where both teams score plenty. Allen and Diggs are no-brainers, but I like Kincaid’s involvement in the offense so far. Knox only saw two targets last weekend and seems to have lost his job to the rookie while injured.
In the absence of Cooper Kupp, Rams QB Matthew Stafford has built quite the connection with two young wide receivers. Puka Nacua has been the highlight of this season, but don’t forget about Stafford’s favorite big play guy Tutu Atwell. Atwell out-targeted Puka on Monday and has seen 8 or 9 targets in every game.
Texans’ CJ Stroud threw the ball 47 times against the Colts, so if Stafford can stay alive behind his offensive line I’m expecting similar volume from a team that clearly wants to throw the ball. Puka will likely eat as well, but I’m taking the less rostered and just as involved player. Throw Higbee into the lineup as a contrarian tight end option. He’s been involved and is due a trip to the end zone. Shoutout to the Fantasy Sports Logic Contrarian Edge Optimizer for this Rams stack.
OR
Chalk, chasing points, going back to the well, WHATEVER. Justin Herbert has been a fantasy star despite the Chargers early struggles and I’m going back for more after Keenan Allen’s big Week 3. Every quarterback to play the Raiders has thrown at least two touchdowns and no interceptions. This list includes Russell Wilson and Kenny Pickett, so I don’t expect Herbert to be the one to break the trend.
If Ekeler is in fact back, he’s equally as great of an option and you might get a slight dip in ownership due to fears of him coming back from injury. Herbert and Allen are chalk to the max. Ekeler captures the same upside but differentiates your roster from everybody else who watched what Keenan Allen did after Mike Williams went down.
Steezy opens up bargain bin for best low-cost adds
If you read last week’s ‘Bargain Bin’,, let’s pretend I didn’t go 1 for 5 from the field — as Baker Mayfield, Kyren Williams, Jordan Addison, Nico Collins and Hunter Henry all performed below expectation.
Thankfully, Isiah Pacheco salvaged me by putting up a respectable and season-high in scrimmage yards while recording his first TD of the season in a drubbing of the struggling Bears.
I’m looking to atone for last week's debacle and here are the players I’ve hand-picked to assist me in that journey (all salaries are courtesy of FanDuel).
Here’s a major positive: according to reports, Burrow left ‘Monday Night Football’ unscathed against the Rams and that there were no ‘setbacks’ to his strained calf.
Perhaps FanDuel hasn’t caught on yet, hence the low salary, relative to his standing amongst QBs in the NFL that is.
Burrow has a juicy matchup against the Titans in Week 4. While their front seven could wreak havoc against the Bengals’ still-questionable offensive line, the Tennessee secondary has been exploited all season.
Just ask Derek Carr and Deshaun Watson, who have each had their best games of the season (statistically) against Tennessee.
Against the Titans – ranked 28th in passing yards allowed per game (275.3) – Burrow is due for his best statistical output of the season. It doesn’t hurt that he and Ja’Marr Chase finally got on the same page on MNF, as Chase racked up a career-high in catches with 12 while simultaneously putting up a season-high in yardage with 141.
Arguably the healthiest he’s been in the last month or so and a matchup on tap against an opponent who's vulnerable against the pass? He’s a must-start. Give me Burrow all day long, baby!
I know, I know. AK has yet to play because of suspension, but with the absence of Jamaal Williams (IR) and unproven depth at RB in New Orleans with only rookie RB Kendre Miller and Tony Jones Jr to spell him, I expect the Saints to put about as much on Kamara’s plate as he can handle in Week 4 against the Buccaneers.
Not as stout against the run like we’re accustomed to seeing, Tampa Bay has shown cracks in their run defense armor.
Take for example, DeAndre Swift’s 130 rushing yards in Week 3. Or the fact that Tampa allowed Philadelphia RB’s to account for 173 yards rushing (201 rushing yards on the day).
With Jameis Winston in at QB as Derek Carr is dealing with a sprained AC joint, I expect New Orleans to play more conservative in Week 3 and run more.
What better way to do that then with a RB who has fresh legs and is still considered one of the premium guys at his position?
Another week, another fantasy scoring output north of 20 points for rookie WR Nathaniel ‘Tank’ Dell in Houston after he put up a 5-catch, 145-yard, and 1 TD performance in Jacksonville in Week 3.
After clamoring for the Texans to draft him shortly after he was drafted No. 2 overall, C.J. Stroud not only got his wish, but the Texans might have gotten one of the steals of the draft in the diminutive, yet explosive and extremely talented wideout from Houston.
Not only that, but this rapport has been making local headlines in Houston all summer long, as it was reported a number of times that Stroud and Dell had showcased strong chemistry with one another during training camp and that has since showcased itself through the first few weeks of the regular season.
Having received 7 targets and caught a TD in back-to-back weeks for the Texans, Dell is gaining traction as a coveted fantasy commodity and definitely not somebody you want to miss out on as this will likely be the last week you can get him outside of the top 30 at WR as far as price point.
One more point: the Steelers pass defense has been BLEEDING points to opposing WRs all season – just ask Brandon Aiyuk, Amari Cooper, Davante Adams, and Jakobi Meyers.
Start Dell with confidence.
First off, prayers up for Mike Williams, who had been on a statistical tear to start the season.
In his place, enter Joshua Palmer, who finished Week 3 with 7 targets, 66 yards and a touchdown.
Against a secondary that has not only struggled all year long, but has been struggling for the last few years now, Palmer is very fantasy-friendly in one of the highest-scoring offenses in the league playing alongside one of the NFL’s most prolific WR’s in Keenan Allen.
And Palmer is the No. 2 option catching passes from one of the hottest QB’s in the game right now? It doesn’t get any better than that.
Hold on, maybe it does.
$6,100.
End of story.
Having received 4 or more targets in every game this season so far, Ferguson has flown under the radar as a fantasy relevant TE.
In a matchup that’s expected to be difficult for Dallas’ wide receivers as New England’s cornerbacks have been shut down, I expect Dak Prescott to look to Ferguson early and often as not only a security blanket, but as the go-to guy in the red zone as well.
Still entrenched as the TE1 on the depth chart ahead of other young TE’s with potential, Ferguson has even caught the attention of his QB, as Prescott is on record saying that Ferguson is ‘close to becoming a big-time guy’.
We’ll see if that tree bears any fruit come Week 4, but for now -- I’m willing to bet that it will, given what I’ve seen so far.
If you’re looking for the ultimate dart throw, look no further than the man matching up against a team that gave up 70 points and 350 yards RUSHING (on 8.1 yards per carry) to the Miami Dolphins last week.
While leading the league in scoring helps when it comes to accumulating fantasy points, don’t let the Bears’ inability to move the ball (or score points for that matter) stop you from getting a bargain on Johnson.
Coming off a season-high in snap percentage (45%), carries, and rushing yards, this is the week in which the Bears will start to utilize their talented rookie back. And if there’s a week for this offense to get back on track, it has to be against the Broncos, who have given up 105 POINTS in their last two outings.
With 50 other guys ahead of Johnson in the salary pecking order regarding RB’s, I don’t believe there could be more bang for your buck than in the former Longhorn.
Cody ranks the tight ends for Week 4
The new “Mr. Consistency” did the thing. Sam LaPorta finished as TE1 in Week 3 and supplanted himself in the Tier 1 conversation next to Tj Hockenson, Mark Andrews and Travis Kelce ... until Kelce's snap share gets back to 80%+.
Be careful starting Zach Ertz, Cade Otton, Hunter Henry and Kylen Granson. Instead, get your hands on Luke Musgrave, who is the NEXT rookie tight end to break out; Noah Fant, who is cheap and attainable EVERYWHERE; and Cole Turner, who stepped into Logan Thomas’ role and finished as TE20 in his starting debut.
Tight End Rankings:
Kicker Rankings:
Defense Rankings:
Cody ranks wide receivers for Week 4
San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk -- QB Brock Purdy's favorite target among a plethora of SF pass-catchers -- has skyrocketed dozens of spots to No. 22 in our WR re-rankings heading into Week 4.
Aiyuk, who missed Week 3 with a shoulder injury, came off the injury report on Friday. Teammate Deebo Samuel is listed as questionable for the game at home against the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday.
Jalin Hyatt flopped in our face Thursday in Week 3. The opportunity was at arm's length and the Giants didn’t trust him with it. He finished with 0 points in a game that was set up directly for a splash play breakout.
Everyone's focus last week was Chargers at Vikings, and as predicted -- “Over the first two weeks of the season, Justin Herbert and Kirk Cousins have combined for 81 pass attempts per game, and I expect Sunday to be no different.” -- things exceeded expectations. The QBs combined for 97 attempts, allowing for all four of the targeted wide receivers to finish almost exactly where projected, each in the Top 24, with Jordan Addison finishing 24th.
In Week 4, Keenen Allen starts where he finished last week, at the top of the chart. While Allen and Mike Williams finished with massive performances in Minnesota, Williams is lost for the season with a torn ACL. Coming off of a 20-target performance and NFL-record third career 15+ catch game, Allen is poised for a repeat performance while hosting fellow 20-target monster Davante Adams.
Sleepers to target in Week 4 consist of Adam Thielen, who is no longer low-key thanks to back-to-back 20+ point outbursts. This week he plays his former team, the Vikings. Down the line is No. 54 Wan’Dale Robinson, who returned from an ACL injury in Week 3, and No. 58 Josh Downs, who faces a favorable speed mismatch at home against the Rams.
Cody ranks running backs for Week 4
Week 3 brought forth a historic week for Fantasy points. The Miami Dolphins' dynamic duo of Raheem Mostert and Devon Achane combined for 96.5 fantasy points, 375 yards and 8 total touchdowns. Something we may never see again at the position.
The last team to score 60+ points in a game was the New Orleans Saints in 2011 against Indianapolis, 62-7. Achane and Mostert will return to the mean, due sheerly to opportunity. Jaylen Waddle will return, and Miami will not run that pure again.
Only one running back has finished with 19.9+ fantasy points in all three weeks so far: Christian McCaffrey.
Zack Moss was dropped into our lap in Week 2 for the Colts. He has scored 20+ fantasy points in both games after being inactive in Week 1. He finished as a top-10 fantasy back in both weeks.
Week 4 brings Moss's toughest matchup yet against the Rams. Los Angeles held McCaffrey to RB7, Joe Mixon to RB16 and Ken Walker to RB26 in the first three weeks. Moss enters the Week as RB15, with an offensive line that has returned to dominance in the face of a healthy Quentin Nelson.
Fantasy Football Experts Stu (Montone) Durst, and Terrell Furman review all the NFL Week 8 games, give you all the Waiver Wire Pickups for Week 9 and recap the Monday Night Football Game between the Raiders and the Lions. Check the Fantasy Fire and Ice Podcast daily for injury updates, breaking NFL news, and player profiles.
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